Fast Track Simulcapping:

Contenders and Speed Ratings


-- RATINGS -- RTG contender rating LR last race speed rating P# program number EP early pace rating ML morning line odds LP late pace rating DLR days since last race FTS Fast Track speed rating Rank rank of LR, EP, LP, FTS each horse * ratings calculated from race of different distance to today For Further Explanation of Ratings

"THE PREAKNESS"

May 15th, 1999.

This race will be even closer than the Derby. The speed and pace ratings indicate there is little to separate a large group of contenders from each other. The field is not quite as large as the Derby, but trip problems can still be a factor. We don't think CHARISMATIC will repeat, but he will be one of several within a few lengths and with a chance at the end. A slight edge on the numbers to MENIFEE but we expect EXCELLENT MEETING who has been consistent, should sit closer and finished well last time to prevail in a three or four horse photo over that one and CAT THIEF . The odds are important and CAT THIEF may be the overlay, holding the others off. Other longer price possibilities are KIMBERLITE PIPE who ran an excellent race with some difficulty last time, and WORLDLY MANNER who will either improve or drop off badly this time.

The results of our survey are in and here is our list and the list generated by those of you who emailed your choices for the Preakness.


                FAST TRACK PICKS        CLIENT PICKS
	1st	Excellent Meeting	Charismatic
	2nd	Menifee			Menifee
	3rd	Cat Thief		Cat Thief
	4th	Kimberlite Pipe		Patience Game
	5th	Charismatic		Excellent Meeting
	6th	Worldly Manner 		Worldly Manner

Quick Picks:     Menifee                Excellent Meeting      Cat Thief
Pace Profile:    Cat Thief              Menifee                Excellent Meeting      
Spud Says:       Excellent Meeting      Kimberlite Pipe        
Long Shot:       Kimberlite Pipe        Worldly Manner
CONSENSUS:       Excellent Meeting(6)   Menifee(5)             Cat Thief(4) 
                                                    

Name                      RTG   P#    ML   DLR   LR   EP   LP   FTS    Rank
Menifee                   +++-   5   5-2    14   96   97  102    99    1911
Excellent Meeting         ++     7   5-1    14   94  100   98    98    4532
Cat Thief                 ++     3   8-1    14   95  101   97    98    3362
Charismatic               ++     6   6-1    14   96   98   99    98    1622
*Worldly Manner           +-    10  12-1    14   94  103   95    98    4284
Kimberlite Pipe           ++     2  20-1    14   94   99   99    98    4634
Badge                            4  50-1    35   93  107   90    97    8196
Patience Game             +-     8  30-1    21   94  101   94    95    4399
Valhol                          12  99-1    14   89   99   94    94    9699
Adonis                           9  30-1    14   87   96   95    91    9989
Stephen Got Even                11  10-1    14   91   91   98    90    9939
Torrid Sand                      1  50-1    35   92   98   91    88    9999